A Trade War Is on Hold, but Trump’s Motives and a Fix Remain Uncertain

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A Trade War Is on Hold, but Trump’s Motives and a Fix Remain Uncertain

When I returned to Windsor, Ontario, the day before President Trump was supposed to impose potentially devastating tariffs for exports from Canada, the city was afraid of the city. A week later, according to Mr. Trump's suspension of a tariff of 25 percent in most exports and 10 percent, oil shifted more towards anger, and the nation's focus has moved to the USA.

It is unknown whether Mr. Trump will impose the tariffs at the beginning of March. But Matina Stevis-Gridneff and I found that relationships between Canada and the United States have undergone a profound change.

[Read: Betrayed: How Trump’s Tariff Threats Tore the U.S.-Canada Bond]

When the tariffs come into force, Windsor is hit particularly hard. It has been almost 60 years since Canada and the United States started integrating their automotive industry through a trading business with the Auto Pact. The North American free trade agreement then brought Mexico into the mix.

While the President has often claimed that the United States are exposed to their border with Canada due to large quantities of fentanyl, my colleague Vjosa Isai has documented, like his claim that there is a significant problem.

[Read: What to Know About Canada’s Role in the Fentanyl Crisis ]

Ana Swanson, who covers international trade in the Washington Bureau, writes to President Trump: “An economic number represents everything that is wrong with the global economy: America's trade deficit.” (The trade deficit of the United States with Canada is a product of its oil imports. )))

[Read: One Economic Number Has Vexed Trump for Decades]

“Lord. Trump has shown the willingness to use American power in a way that most of its modern predecessors do not have,” writes Peter Baker, the chief correspondent of the Times White House. “His favorite instrument is not a military force, but economic compulsion . “

There was no ambiguity in Canada when it comes to Mr. Trump's proposed takeover. Politicians in the entire political spectrum reject it and it has revived a feeling of patriotism under Canadian.

This is a strong contrast to an earlier point in history. When what was still part of Canada was still in British -North America, the tariffs in 1846 threatened to destabilize the economy and to cause economic fear and concern.

As part of a train to free trade, however, Great Britain ended a system that preferred exports of grain, wood and wheat from Canada and other colonies and kept the shipments from the United States and elsewhere with high tariffs.

It was bad news for Canadian farmers and soon panicked among members of the Montreal elite when this city was the colony finance and business center. Within three years, they formed a group that published manifestoes who demanded the annexation of Ober- and Unterkanada by the United States.

The removal of British tariffs has “caused the most catastrophic effects on Canada”, her manifesto from 1849 before the conclusion that the accession to the United States was “unavoidable” and that it was the signatories of the signatories to provide the “duty and legally promote.

More than 300 people have signed it. While the majority members of the English-speaking business elite of Montreal-a names that are still reflected in companies such as Molson and Redpath-they also formed an unusual alliance with French-speaking nationalists under Louis-Joseph Papineau.

The movement could not gain traction in Toronto and the rest of Oberkanada. A trading pact with the United States in 1854, which replaced 21 percent tariffs through duty -free access to many important Canadian exports to the United States, led to the annexation movement.

“The mutual agreement brings a nail to the economic end of this argument – they could stay in the empire and act with the USA,” said Jeffrey McNairn, history professor at Queen's University in Kingston, Ontario,. “It was a moment of enormous uncertainty and a confluence of political, economic factors and people looking for a solution.”

  • Arsons, shootings and sabotage, reports Vjosa Isai, are part of a continuing struggle for Hummer in Nova Scotia, who raises thorny questions about the rights of the indigenous people, the economic justice and the preservation of resources.

  • Research on the health records of Ontario has come to the conclusion that marijuana dependency is “a threat to public health like alcohol” and that patients who developed drug poisoning and lung cancer.

  • A self -proclaimed Canadian “pirate” stole $ 10 million of cryptocurrency, say the prosecutors in Brooklyn. The 22-year-old man stays at large.

  • In the New York Times Magazine, Mireille Silcoff, a writer and cultural critic in Montreal, writes that like many other gene X women, she now has “more and better sex than I would ever have thought possible”.

  • In real estate, what -You feature with 300,000 US dollar real estate deals with Prince Edward Island.

Ian Austen Reports about Canada for the Times and is based in Ottawa. Calculum from Windsor, Ontario, he covers politics, culture and the people of Canada and has been reporting on the country for two decades. It can be reached at austen@nytimes.com. More about Ian Austen

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