The Apple logo, which was recorded in the Apple Store in the 5th Avenue in Manhattan.
Sven Hoppe | Image Allianz | Getty pictures
The Wall Street is preparing Apple After the bell and users on the Prediction platform Kalshi, in the third quarter, which is discussed on the upcoming earnings discussion of the iPhone manufacturer.
In the afternoon on Thursday, Kalshi showed a probability of about 90% that Apple would mention words such as “China” and “tariff” during the call, while the mention of the “severance pay” was classified by more than 50%.
Betting on this question has brought more than 48,000 US dollars in trading volume.
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Apple has been put under pressure in recent months to increase domestic production. In May, President Donald Trump said that Apple would have to pay a tariff of 25% or more for his iPhones that were not made in the USA
The company has made efforts since then to relieve part of this pressure and announced at the beginning of this week that it will open a production academy in the city center of Detroit next month, in which small and medium -sized companies should offer workshops for production and artificial intelligence.
However, analysts have announced that the US MADE IPHONES would make the device much more expensive, since some estimates have put their price in a range of $ 1,500 to $ 3,500. The company mainly produces most iPhones in China, but has expanded its production in the middle of the uncertainty in connection with the tariffs of the Trump government to India.
The move has apparently got under control, as a report published this week showed that India exceeded China in the smartphone exports in the second quarter.
The barclays analyst Tim Long predicts that iPhones will “fight” due to a “rough” macroeconomic background, the lack of new product and feature traction as well as loss of market share in China.
“According to Apple, most iPhones in the USA are expected to have India as a country of origin for the Juni-Q, and almost all iPad, Mac, Apple Watch and Airpods sold in the USA are expected to be sent for the Q from Vietnam,” he wrote. “We assume that AAPL could apply other reduction efforts … Before you turn to the price campaigns we would expect to undermine the demand.”
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In addition to the comments related to China tariffs, Kalshi users expect a discussion about the most viewed series on Apple TV+, “Severance”, which recorded an increase in popularity with the premiere of his second season at the beginning of this year.
Shortly after the final of the second season in March, it was officially renewed for a third season.
Other words in the entertainment industry such as “Formula 1/F1” were 88%for users. “F1: The Movie” came more than $ 293 million worldwide just a few days after its publication and became Apple's theater film.
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Apple vs. S&P 500, year after year
The Apple shares were near the flatline at the afternoon trade on Thursday. This increased the decline of more than 16%to delay the S&P 500 Increase in more than 8%in the period.
The company's profit call in the third quarter is planned on Thursday at 5 p.m. ET after the publication of its quarterly results. Analysts surveyed by LSEG assume that Apple will record the most increasing income and sales with a deputy percentage in the quarter.